as the World Cup reaches the final stages of group matches. the timing of this third round of fixtures is also somewhat different from usual. tonight, Group A will kick off the last games with ecuador vs germany and costa rica vs poland, both starting at 10pm singapore time.

current situation in Group A:
the winners and losers have already been decided by the previous round. ecuador, the surprise package from the south american continent (GF 5, GA 0, 6 pts) and germany (GF 5, GA 2, 6 pts) have already secured places in the round of 16. on the other hand, costa rica (GF 2, GA 7, 0 pts) and poland (GF 0, GA 3, 0 pts) are on their way home. but the fixtures have to go on.

for the latter match (CRC-POL), there's only pride to redeem and nothing else at stake. so no point making any prediction for that match.

moving on to the focus: ecuador vs germany
venue: berlin, time: 10pm

my prediction: 2-2 draw, with ecuador topping Group A with a more superior goal difference.

all the factors appear to be pointing to the hosts' favour. despite a two-goal deficit in terms of goal difference (+3 against +5), the germans look poised to turn that into their advantage.

but do not be too quick to rule out ecuador's abilities. the stats so far show that this team is no longer the team that becomes a flop outside their home ground in the highlands of Quito (2,850m above sea level).

therefore, i anticipate a closely-contested battle as the teams are likely to push their limits in pursuing top spot in the group. surely they will relish avoiding the eventual winner of Group B, which will probably turn out to be england.

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